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Politische Ökonomie internationaler Währungskrisen : ein dreidimensionales Frühwarnsystem

Angermayer, Björn - 2006 - 1. Aufl.

Erkenntnis einer umfangreichen Retrospektive zur Theorie der Währungskrisen. Mit Hilfe der Computer-Software SPSS 12.0.1 und …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003440555

Gaming : prospective for forecasting

Brewer, Garry D. - 1974

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002303499

The Predictive Power of One-Shot Oligopoly Models

Ten Kate, Adriaan - 2016

There are two standard versions for one-shot oligopoly games: the Cournot game and the Bertrand game. The common feature is that in both games the strategic variables are supply curves. Under Cournot the supply curves are vertical lines in price-quantity space, under Bertrand they are horizontal...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000864

Forecast Dispersion in Finite-Player Forecasting Games

Kim, Jin Yeub - 2017

We study forecast dispersion in a finite-player forecasting game modeled as an aggregate game with payoff externalities … forecast from the average forecast; and with a finite number of agents, the agents can strategically in influence that average … find that when each agent prefers to be close to the average forecast, the presence of strategic manipulation of the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972639

"Calibeating" : beating forecasters at their own game

Foster, Dean P.; Hart, Sergiu - In: Theoretical economics : TE ; an open access journal in … 18 (2023) 4, pp. 1441-1474

; the latter measures how good the sorting into bins with the same forecast is, and thus attests to “expertise.” This raises … an easy way to calibeat any forecast, by a deterministic online procedure. We moreover show that calibeating can be …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014440068

Scenario forecast model of long term trends in rural labor transfer based on evolutionary games

Liu, Dehai; Li, Hongyi; Wang, Weiguo; Zhou, Chuang - In: Journal of evolutionary economics : JEE 25 (2015) 3, pp. 649-670

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374093

Forecast dispersion in finite-player forecasting games

Kim, Jin Yeub; Shim, Myungkyu - In: The B.E. journal of theoretical economics 19 (2019) 1, pp. 1-6

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975143

International environmental agreements-the role of foresight

Diamantoudi, Effrosyni; Sartzetakis, Eftichios Sofokles - In: Environmental & resource economics : the official … 71 (2018) 1, pp. 241-257

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011998637

Many inspections are manipulable

Shmaya, Eran - In: Theoretical economics : TE ; an open access journal in … 3 (2008) 3, pp. 367-382

A self-proclaimed expert uses past observations of a stochastic process to make probabilistic predictions about the process. An inspector applies a test function to the infinite sequence of predictions provided by the expert and the observed realization of the process in order to check the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011700245

Strategic coordination in forecasting : an experimental study

Meub, Lukas; Proeger, Till; Bizer, Kilian; Spiwoks, Markus - In: Finance research letters 13 (2015), pp. 155-162

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011552469