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This paper provides a stylized choice-thoretic model to analyze optimal monetary policies among interdependent economies. In response to marcoeconomic shocks, policymakers strike a balance between two objectives. The first is to stabilize marginal costs and markups to offset the distortions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857790
The enlargement of the EU will eventually lead to an enlargement of the Euroarea. Since the accession countries are economically very small, the implications for the ECB will be limited to its decision-making structure. I argue that the enlargementrepresents an opportunity for the ECB to adjust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858144
The challenge of international term structure models is to simultaneously account for the properties of interest rate term structures and foreign exchange rates within an arbitrage-free framework. We extend the quadratic term structure models proposed in Leippold and Wu (2002) to multiple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858853
In this paper we discuss the implementation of general one-factor short rate models with a trinomial tree. Taking the Hull-White model as a starting point, our contribution is threefold. First, we show how trees can be spanned using a set of general branching processes. Secondly, we improve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858854
We develop a continuous time general equilibrium model for the term structure of interest rates where economic agents are averse to model uncertainty and consider the possibility of a misspecified dynamic model for the latent risk factors driving interest rates. Aversion to model uncertainty is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858904
We develop intuitive expressions for the spread between a forwardcontract and a similar futures contract taking into account the pos-sibility of counterparty default. We evaluate these expressions nu-merically and show that the forward-futures spread is significant forrealistic parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858907
This paper extends the literature on the information content of financial variables with respect to future economic growth. It shows that variables originating from both the equity market and the bond market in Switzerland are useful indicators for forecasting the Swiss business cycle. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005859003