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We derive the optimal monetary policy in a sticky price model when private agents follow adaptive learning. We show that this slight departure from rationality has important implications for policy design. The central bank faces a new intertemporal trade-off, not present under rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271452
Most studies of optimal monetary policy under learning rely on optimality conditions derived for the case when agents have rational expectations. In this paper, we derive optimal monetary policy in an economy where the Central Bank knows, and makes active use of, the learning algorithm agents...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494352
Markov-switching rational expectations (MSRE) models can yield fresh insights beyond what linear rational expectations (LRE) models have done for macroeconomics, as Davig and Leeper (2007) and Farmer, Waggoner and Zha (2009), among others, have noted and predicted. A lack of tractable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070801
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008729179
The recent macroeconomic literature stresses the importance of managing heterogeneous expectations in the formulation of monetary policy. We use a stylized macro model of Howitt (1992) to investigate inflation dynamics under alternative interest rate rules when agents have heterogeneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378358
In a general class of Markov-switching rational expectations models, this study derives necessary and sufficient conditions for determinacy, indeterminacy and the case of no stable solution. Classification of the models into these three mutually disjoint and exhaustive subsets is completely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851633
This paper derives a general New Keynesian framework consistent with heterogeneous expectations by explicitly solving the micro-foundations underpinning the model. The resulting reduced form is analytically tractable and encompasses the representative rational agent benchmark as a special case....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014171066
Expectations play a central role in modern macroeconomics. The econometric learning approach, in line with the cognitive consistency principle, models agents as forming expectations by estimating and updating subjective forecasting models in real time. This approach provides a stability test for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014183715
Most studies of optimal monetary policy under learning rely on optimality conditions derived for the case when agents have rational expectations. In this paper, we derive optimal monetary policy in an economy where the Central Bank knows, and makes active use of, the learning algorithm agents...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014198313
The purpose of this paper is to examine how important an improvement in global monetary policy might be for the macroeconomic performance of a small open economy such as the United Kingdom. Our paper contributes to the literature by proposing a new methodology to treat indeterminate solutions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014214070