From the Publisher: A brilliantly original assessment of what caused the global crash-and a practical plan for investing accordingly. Supercycles, according to international economist and strategist, Arun Motianey, are the continuous, long waves of boom and bust that undulate through the global...

The workhorse DSGE model used for monetary policy evaluation is designed to capture business cycle fluctuations in an optimization-based format. It is commonplace to log-linearize models and express them with variables in deviation-from-steady-state format. Structural parameters are either...

Effective policies to stabilize macroeconomic conditions are essential for economic growth. In the context of this study, policymakers pursue these macroeconomic stability objectives by adjusting fiscal and monetary policy. The study used impulse response functions (IRFs) derived from vector...

Credit booms sometimes lead to financial crises which are accompanied with severe and persistent economic slumps. Does this imply that monetary policy should "lean against the wind" and counteract excess credit growth, even at the cost of higher output and inflation volatility? We study this...

What happens if the government's willingness to stabilize a large stock of debt is waning, while the central bank is adamant about preventing a rise in inflation? The large fiscal imbalance brings about inflationary pressures, triggering a monetary tightening, further debt accumulation, and...