We build a model for bond yields based on a small-scale representation of an economy with secular declines in inflation …, the real rate and output growth. Long-run restrictions identify nominal shocks that influence long-run inflation but do … results show that, before the anchoring of inflation around the mid-1990s, nominal shocks lifted the output gap and inflation …

The recovery from the Global Financial Crisis was characterized by sluggish output growth and by inflation remaining … persistently below the inflation targets of central banks in many advanced economies despite an unprecedented monetary expansion …

The recovery from the Global Financial Crisis was characterized by sluggish output growth and by inflation remaining … persistently below the inflation targets of central banks in many advanced economies despite an unprecedented monetary expansion …

We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the coefficient in the Phillips curve on the …