This paper suggests a demand side analysis of informal employment characterised by incompliances with labour tax regulation using a general equilibrium model with overlapping generations. A public social insurance provide benefits to formal employees in retirement, while we allow for an informal...

This paper examines the macroeconomic consequences of the diversion of migration flows away from Germany towards the UK in the course of the EU’s Eastern Enlargement. Based on a forecast of the migration potential under the conditions of free movement and of the transitional arrangements, we...

This paper presents a dynamic Overlapping Generations Computable General Equilibrium (OLG-CGE) model of Scotland. The model is used to examine the impact of population ageing on the labour market. More specifically, it is used to evaluate the effects of labour force decline and labour force...

This paper quantifies the effects of introducing a single open-ended contract for new hires, with increasing severance payments as an alternative to the current situation in Spain, where both temporary and permanent contracts are available. One of the reasons for the excessive job destruction in...

CGE models usually assume extremes of factor mobility: factors either move between industries without cost or they do not move at all. With the assumption of mobile factors, simulations lead to reallocation of factors among different sectors of the economy which often vary strongly in factor...

This work is based on 2 working papers, produced within the NEUJOBS project (www.neujobs.eu). We studied the impact of a number of transport policies in the EU, focussing on the interaction of transport with the labour market. The objective was to determine: - if policies towards promoting...

During the 12th Five-Year Plan (FYP) period of China (2011-2015), Chinese government set the carbon intensity emission reduction target for the first time. This target is allocated to all the provinces in China without a trading mechanism. In our study, we aim to evaluate the impact among...

Due to the high concentration of economic activity along the low-lying coastal zone of the Nile delta and its dependence on Nile river streamflow, Egypt's economy is highly exposed to adverse climate change. Adaptation planning requires a forward-lookingn assessment of climate change impacts on...

A basic analysis of EM-DAT database shows that natural hazards have substantial macroeconomic impacts in developing countries in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) countries which are highly exposed to extreme natural events (e.g. hurricanes, earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, and tidal waves)....

Policy analysis with a dynamic CGE model requires a baseline solution that is a plausible forecast of the whole set of model's variables. An important issue in the development of the baseline forecast is to account for structural change. This is aided by the technique of historical simulations...