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Information aggregation in Poisson elections
Ekmekci, Mehmet; Lauermann, Stephan - In: Theoretical Economics 17 (2022) 1, pp. 1-23
The modern Condorcet jury theorem states that under weak conditions, when voters have common interests, elections will aggregate information when the population is large, in any equilibrium. Here, we study the performance of large elections with population uncertainty. We find that the modern...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013189048
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Information aggregation in Poisson elections
Ekmekci, Mehmet; Lauermann, Stephan - In: Theoretical economics : TE ; an open access journal in … 17 (2022) 1, pp. 1-23
The modern Condorcet jury theorem states that under weak conditions, when voters have common interests, elections will aggregate information when the population is large, in any equilibrium. Here, we study the performance of large elections with population uncertainty. We find that the modern...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806603
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A German inflation narrative how the media frame price dynamics : results from a RollingLDA analysis
Müller, Henrik; Schmidt, Tobias; Rieger, Jonas; … - 2022 - Version 1.0
decades has there been such a broad shift in inflation perception, and therefore, possibly, in inflation expectations. Also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938935
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How did the capital market evaluate Germany’s prospects for winning World War I? Evidence from the Amsterdam market for government bonds
Jopp, Tobias A. - European Historical Economics Society - EHES - 2014
(extended) model. Each implies a significant adjustment of lenders’ confidence in Germany being able, or willing, to service its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010857361
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How did the Capital Market Evaluate Germany’s Prospects for Winning World War I? Evidence from the Amsterdam Market for Government Bonds
Jopp Tobias A. - In: Jahrbuch für Wirtschaftsgeschichte / Economic History … 55 (2014) 2, pp. 26-26
(extended) model. Each implies a significant adjustment of lenders’ confidence in Germany being able, or willing, to service its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011078442
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How did the capital market evaluate Germany's prospects for winning World War I? Evidence from the Amsterdam market for government bonds
Jopp, Tobias A. - 2014
(extended) model. Each implies a significant adjustment of lenders' confidence in Germany being able, or willing, to service its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012669402
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How did the capital market evaluate Germany's prospects for winning World War I? : evidence from the Amsterdam market for government bonds
Jopp, Tobias Alexander - In: Jahrbuch für Wirtschaftsgeschichte (2014) 2, pp. 159-184
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010488355
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Are optimistic expectations keeping the Chinese happy?
Frijters, Paul; Liu, Amy Y.C.; Meng, Xin - In: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 81 (2012) 1, pp. 159-171
In this paper we study the effect of optimistic income expectations on life satisfaction amongst the Chinese population … strong in the countryside and amongst rural-to-urban migrants. The importance of these expectations for life satisfaction is … particularly pronounced in the urban areas, though also highly significant for the rural area. If expectations were to reverse from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010597452
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Are optimistic expectations keeping the Chinese happy?
Frijters, Paul; Liu, Amy Y. C.; Meng, Xin - In: Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 81 (2012) 1, pp. 159-171
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009505577
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Financial professionals' overconfidence : is it experience, function, or attitude?
Gloede, Oliver; Menkhoff, Lukas - In: European financial management : the journal of the … 20 (2014) 2, pp. 236-269
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010351013