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Local electoral rewards from centralized social programs : are mayors getting the credit?

Rodríguez-Chamussy, Lourdes - 2015

This paper uses variation in the timing of the Mexican antipoverty program's introduction across municipalities to identify its impact on the share of votes for the local incumbent party. Evidence is found that voters reward the mayor's party for the central benefit to their constituencies,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011289331

Minority positions in the German council of economic experts : a political economic analysis

Potrafke, Niklas - 2013

I investigate minority votes in the German Council of Economic Experts. The dataset contains information on the voting … behavior of the council members over the period 1971-2011. The results show that the best predictor of minority voting is being … against the majority opinion of the German Council of Economic Experts. This voting pattern indicates that the channel of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009732996

Transparency in parliamentary voting

Benesch, Christine; Bütler, Monika; Hofer, Katharina E. - 2015

We use a change in the voting procedures of one of the two chambers of the Swiss parliament to explore how transparency … affects the voting behavior of its members. Until 2013, the Council of States (Ständerat) had voted by a show of hands. While …-consuming screening of online videos. In 2014, halfway through the legislative period, the chamber switched to electronic voting. Since …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411279

Do Parties Punish MPs for Voting against the Party Line?

Kauder, Bjoern - 2017

the list of candidates because a candidate is punished more when he loses positions at the threshold of promising list … positions. The dataset includes the voting behavior of 257 MPs in 218 roll-call votes. Our results do not show that parties … account for the voting behavior by punishing politicians who have voted against the party line. Political parties may attract …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953695

Gender gaps in political careers : evidence from competitive elections

Cipullo, Davide - 2021

two-stage elections, candidates are admitted to the second round of voting based on the outcome of the first round. I find …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012514279

Electoral cycles in macroeconomic forecasts

Cipullo, Davide; Reslow, André - 2021

This paper documents the existence of Political Forecast Cycles. In a theoretical model of political selection, we show that governments release overly optimistic GDP growth forecasts ahead of elections to increase the reelection probability. The bias arises from lack of commitment if voters are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012514965

Air pollution affects decision-making: evidence from the ballot box

Bellani, Luna; Ceolotto, Stefano; Elsner, Benjamin; … - 2021

significantly affects voting behavior. An increase in the concentration of PM10 by 10μg/m3 - around two within-county standard …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012620918

Careful what you say: the effect of manipulative information on the 2013 Czech presidential run-off election

Guzi, Martin; Mikula, Stepan - 2021

We exploit a quasi-natural experiment that emerged during the Czech presidential run-off election to identify the impact of inaccurate and misleading information on electoral outcomes. A political campaign associated a vote for one of the candidates with a legally and politically unfounded risk...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012698676

Information disclosure in elections with sequential costly participation

Vorobyev, Dmitriy - 2020

during an election day. Using a pivotal costly voting model of elections in which voters have privately observed preferences …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012221414

Information aggregation in Poisson elections

Ekmekci, Mehmet; Lauermann, Stephan - In: Theoretical economics : TE ; an open access journal in … 17 (2022) 1, pp. 1-23

The modern Condorcet jury theorem states that under weak conditions, when voters have common interests, elections will aggregate information when the population is large, in any equilibrium. Here, we study the performance of large elections with population uncertainty. We find that the modern...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806603