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Stylized facts suggest that output volatility in OECD countries has declined in recent years. However, the causes and the nature of this decline have so far been analyzed mainly for the United States. In this paper, we analyze whether structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005755211
I use a time-varying parameter model in order to study the predictability of monthly real stock returns in Germany over the period 1880–1913. I find that the extent to which returns were predictable underwent significant changes over time. Specifically, predictability of returns, as measured...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005818851
We analyze the interaction of stock market movements and politics in Germany. In contrast to the empirical evidence available for the U.S., we do not find that German stock market returns tend to be higher during liberal than during conservative governments. Also in contrast to results for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700518
This paper provides empirical evidence on the determinants of foreign activities of German banks. We use regionally disaggregated panel data for the years 1981–98 and distinguish foreign direct investment from total foreign assets of domestic banks, of their foreign branches and their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005755142
The German financial system is characterized by lower degrees of penetration by foreign commercial banks and of (bank) disintermedation than, for instance, that of the United States. These differences could be attributed to the fact that universal banking in Germany creates implicit barriers to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700520
Stylized facts suggest that output volatility in OECD countries has declined in recent years. However, the causes and the nature of this decline have so far been analyzed mainly for the United States. In this paper, we analyze whether structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260526
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001608139
Stylized facts suggest that output volatility in OECD countries has declined in recent years. However, the causes and the nature of this decline have so far been analyzed mainly for the United States. In this paper, we analyze whether structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001712118
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015156238
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003356364