What is the impact of time-varying business uncertainty on economic activity? Using partly confidential business survey data from the U.S. and Germany in structural VARs, we find that positive innovations to business uncertainty lead to prolonged declines in economic activity. In contrast, their...

What is the impact of time-varying business uncertainty on economic activity? Using partly confidential business survey data from the U.S. and Germany in structural VARs, we find that positive innovations to business uncertainty lead to prolonged declines in economic activity. In contrast, their...

Mit der bevorstehenden Bundestagswahl öffnet sich ein neues Möglichkeitsfenster für die Finanzpolitik in Deutschland. Vertreter:innen unterschiedlicher Parteien machen sich dafür stark, die Finanzpolitik neu auszurichten. Mit US-Präsident Biden ist es in den USA bereits zu neuen...

When employers face a trade-off between growing large and paying low wages that is, when they have monopsony power some productive employers will decide to acquire fewer customers, forgo sales, and remain small. These decisions have adverse consequences for aggregate labor productivity. Using...