Since 2003, a new set of scenario-analyses have been published by the CPB in Four Futures of Europe (de Mooij and Tang, 2003), four scenarios are sketched for the development of the European economy until 2040. The scenarios are defined in terms of two groups of 'key uncertainties'. The first...

Rationale: Health care expenditures in industrial countries have been growing rapidly over the past forty years. This rapid growth jeopardizes the sustainability of public budgets. A particular concern for the next decades is the effect of aging of the population on health care expenditures....