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Guenette, Justin Damien; Kose, M. Ayhan; Sugawara, Naotaka - 2023

Global growth prospects have deteriorated significantly since the beginning of the year, raising the specter of global recession. This paper relies on insights gleaned from previous global recessions to analyze the recent evolution of economic activity and policies and presents plausible...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014259927

Is a Global Recession Imminent?

Guenette, Justin Damien; Kose, M. Ayhan; Sugawara, Naotaka - 2022

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014243612

Container trade and the U.S. recovery

Kilian, Lutz; Nomikos, Nikos K.; Zhou, Xiaoqing - 2021

Since the 1970s, exports and imports of manufactured goods have been the engine of international trade and much of that trade relies on container shipping. This paper introduces a new monthly index of the volume of container trade to and from North America. Incorporating this index into a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012550202

Container trade and the U.S. recovery

Kilian, Lutz; Nomikos, Nikos K.; Zhou, Xiaoqing - 2021 - This version: October 13, 2021

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661967

Nowcasting Global Economic Growth : A Factor-Augmented Mixed-Frequency Approach

Ferrara, Laurent - 2014

challenge for economists. The International Monetary Fund proposes within its periodic World Economic Outlook report a measure …-frequency information. Pseudo real-time results show that this approach provides reliable and timely nowcasts of the world GDP annual growth …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045125

Six Crises of the World Economy : Globalization and Economic Turbulence from the 1970s to the COVID-19 Pandemic

Tapia Granados, José A. - 2023

global crises -- Chapter 4. Conceptual issues — Depressions, recessions, crisis cycles, business cycles -- Chapter 5. A world … the world economy that have occurred from the 1970s to the present day. It makes the specific case that the global economy … world economic activity—as measured by investment, industrial production, trade, or unemployment—in which many national …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014444009

Does corporate sustainable development still promote corporate financial performance during global crises? : empirical Study from China

Hamed, Ruba Subhi; Al-Shattarat, Wasim K.; Mahmood, Faisal - In: Cogent business & management 10 (2023) 1, pp. 1-16

The purpose of this study is to find out how the positive influence of corporate sustainable development on corporate financial performance alters during the two recent crises i.e. the global recession (2008-10) and COVID-19 (2019-20). The fixed effect modeling of panel data is applied in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014469993

The Global Component of Inflation Volatility

Carriero, Andrea - 2018

Global developments play an important role in domestic inflation rates. Previous literature has found that a substantial amount of the variation in a large set of national inflation rates can be explained by a single global factor. However, inflation volatility has been typically neglected,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919564

Leading Indicators in a Globalised World

Fichtner, Ferdinand - 2009

Using OECD composite leading indicators (CLI), we assess empirically whether the ability of the country-specific CLIs to predict economic activity has diminished in recent years, e.g. due to rapid advances in globalisation. Overall, we find evidence that the CLI encompasses useful information...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153432

Global Inflation Forecasts

Kearns, Jonathan - 2016

Inflation co-moves across countries and several papers have shown that lags of this common inflation can help to forecast country inflation. This paper constructs forecasts of common (or 'global') inflation using survey forecasts of country inflation. These forecasts of global inflation have...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982775