This paper focuses on emerging markets government bonds issued in local currency with different maturities. Foreign investors face interest rate, currency, and credit risks. We consider the entire term structure of carry trade returns and find that, while the default premium does not contribute...

This paper focuses on the debt build-up that frontier low-income developing countries (LIDCs) have faced since 2012. First, it documents a 20-percentage point increase in the external and government debt-to-GDP ratios, a composition shift toward higher non-concessional debt, and a rise in...

Two of the most important areas of inquiry in contemporary international relations theory and policy involve globalization and the utility of non-military instruments of statecraft such as sanctions. Debates have centered around whether, how, and how much increased globalization has undermined...

We examine 24 global factor premiums across the main asset classes via replication and new-sample evidence spanning 217 years of data. Replication yields ambiguous evidence within a unified testing framework with methods that account for p-hacking. The new-sample evidence reveals that the large...

This paper investigates mispricing (specifically limits to arbitrage) as an alternative to the risk-based explanation of the globalization premium documented by Barrot et al. (2019). We document that the globalization premium is positively correlated with measures of limits to arbitrage. We...