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forecast levels. A country's proximity to the US, importance to the firm, and visibility, as well as availability of more … precise information about foreign country exposures, contribute to consensus forecast efficiency. We identify a dimension of … — and show that it contributes to forecast efficiency, accuracy, and informativeness and that it helps the analyst achieve …
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from around the world. By examining cash flow and discount rate news comovements, we find that financial and economic …
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real choropleth geographical world maps, we utilize the data from the World Values Survey (WVS) to arrive at robust …
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Expert forecast combination—the aggregation of individual forecasts from multiple subject-matter experts— is a proven … our framework, we develop global versions of several existing forecast combinations. To evaluate the efficacy of these new … global forecast combinations, we conduct extensive comparisons using synthetic and real data. Our real data comparisons …
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estimates indicate that forecast uncertainty has increased since January 2016, while the balance of risks to global growth has …
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