We use parametric models of long memory in both the conditional mean and the conditional variance of inflation and monthly data in the USA, Japan and the UK for the period 1962-2001 to examine the relationship between inflation and inflation-uncertainty. In all countries, inflation significantly...

The aim of this paper is to analyze and estimate salient characteristics of unemployment dynamics. Movements in unemployment are viewed as "chain reactions" of responses to labor market shocks, working their way through systems of interacting lagged adjustment processes. In the context of...

This paper challenges what is the standard account of UK unemployment, namely that the major swings in unemployment over the past 25 years are due predominantly to movements in the underlying empirical "natural rate of unemploymentʺ (NRU). Our analysis suggests that the British NRU has remained...