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proxies of information supply on mass media. Using survey data from the 1997 British General Election Study, I show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012771353
This study uses data from the 2005-10 British Election Panel Study to examine the effect of media coverage on voter … evaluations of the incumbent government following the 2007-8 financial crisis. By combining sentiment analysis of newspaper … content with an instrumental variables approach, I show that newspapers' coverage of these events influenced how their readers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013175696
Trade unions sponsored the political campaigns of candidates running for office in many countries throughout the 20th century. Yet little is known about the electoral consequences of these sponsorship arrangements. I study how union sponsorship affected the electoral performance of parliamentary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013241798
-systemic parties performed worse compared to the previous elections (December 2015) despite the optimistic predictions of the pre-election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926656
constituencies over time, I provide evidence of a significant impact of pre-election polls on electoral outcomes and shed light on a … election closeness and the effects vary heterogeneously depending on whether poll predictions are aligned with the past …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241127
constituencies, we find that pre-election polls significantly affect voter turnout. Non-competitive elections predicted by national …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014517912
Previous analyses of the 2016 Brexit referendum used region-level data or small samples based on polling data. The former might be subject to ecological fallacy and the latter might suffer from small-sample bias. We use individual-level data on thousands of respondents in Understanding Society,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908787
with very similar individual characteristics vote differently in different places? We use data from the British Election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893727
On 23 June 2016, the British electorate voted to leave the European Union. We analyze vote and turnout shares across 380 local authority areas in the United Kingdom. We find that exposure to the EU in terms of immigration and trade provides relatively little explanatory power for the referendum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646454
On 23 June 2016, the British electorate voted to leave the European Union. We analyze vote and turnout shares across 380 local authority areas in the United Kingdom. We find that exposure to the EU in terms of immigration and trade provides relatively little explanatory power for the referendum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955422