By analysing narrative evidence from British newspapers, this paper examines when expectations of deflation ended during the recovery of the 1930s. Examining monthly macroeconomic data, contemporary price reports, and daily policy announcements, we show that despite a speculative boom and rising...

This paper examines UK sovereign debt sustainability following the Second World War. Even though the UK in 1946 recorded the highest public debt-to-GDP ratio of the 20th century, the sovereign credit literature does not show a UK sovereign default following the Second World War. New archival...

A disagreement has emerged over whether advanced countries such as Britain engaged in financial repression following the Second World War. A review of the historical and archival evidence identifies eleven pieces of British legislation and sixteen directives that supported financial repression...

We show the recovery in consumer spending in the United Kingdom through the second half of 2020 is unevenly distributed across regions. We utilise Fable Data: a real-time source of consumption data that is a highly correlated, leading indicator of Bank of England and Office for National...

We find UK “local lockdowns” of cities and small regions, focused on limiting how many people a household can interact with and in what settings, are effective in turning the tide on rising positive COVID-19 cases. Yet, by focusing on household mixing within the home, these local lockdowns...