This paper tests for speculative bubbles in the medieval English property market based on a unique hand-collected dataset from the feet of fines spanning the fourteenth and fifteenth centuries. We focus on asset types where there are sufficiently large numbers of transactions each year to make a...

This paper employs a probit model and a Markov switching model using information from the Conference Board Leading Indicator series to detect the turning points in four key US commercial rents series. We find that both the approaches based on the leading indicator have considerable power to...

In this paper we determine whether speculative bubbles in one region in the US can lead bubbles to form in others. We first apply a regime-switching model to determine whether speculative bubbles existed in the US regional residential real estate markets. Our findings suggest that the housing...

This paper examines the dynamics of the residential property market in the US between 1960 and 2011. Given the cyclicality and apparent overvaluation of the market over this period, we determine whether deviations of real estate prices from their fundamentals were caused by the existence of two...