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This paper examines the question whether joining EMU or the breach of the Stability and Growth Pact in 2003 had an … having joined EMU or after having breached the Pact in 2003. These results can be explained with the fact that the Pact was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011488439
It is by now a widely shared insight that fiscal policy needs to be re-strengthened as a macroeconomic policy instrument within European macroeconomic policies: Recent experiences with austerity policies, new research regarding the size of the fiscal multiplier and the fact that monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011477456
We formulate and estimate a simple fiscal policy reaction function for the euro area and individual euro area countries. Our reaction function allows for primary surpluses to feature three components: an anti-cyclical response of primary surpluses to the output gap, a response to the debt-GDP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010235448
The current fiscal imbalances and fragilities in the Southern and Eastern Mediterranean countries (SEMC) are the result of decades of instability, but have become more visible since 2008, when a combination of adverse economic and political shocks (the global and European financial crises, Arab...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010337694
The German debt brake is often regarded as a great success story, and has therefore served as a role model for the Euro area and its fiscal compact. In this paper we fundamentally criticize the debt brake. We show that (1) it suffers from serious shortcomings, and its success is far from certain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010187671
shocks, discretionary measures remain ill-timed from a stabilisation perspective even when observable and politically more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306605
stabilisation tool. At the same time, there is ample evidence that major economic downturns produce lasting effects on real GDP in … fiscal expansion, and (ii) find the right time to pivot from short-term stabilisation to fiscal consolidation while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448651
With this paper, our objective is to empirically study public debt sustainability by estimating a fiscal reaction function where the primary balance relative to GDP is assumed to be a function of the public debt to GDP ratio of the previous year and of other macroeconomic variables. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013335018
We provide a systematic analysis of fiscal consolidation in a medium-scale dynamic general equilibrium model. Our results show that the choice of the consolidation instrument is very important, not only with respect to the short- and long-run output effects of the different consolidation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010416675
Most parts of the Euro area have seen seven years of deep economic crisis. The strategy of tightening the fiscal constraints of the SGP has driven many member states into austerity. In contrast, the golden rule of public investment proposed in this study would be one important element of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011336549