This paper examines whether ESAF-supported programs during 1986-91 had significant independent effects on growth, inflation and the external debt service ratio. Econometric estimates of the Generalized Evaluation Estimator (GEE) identify statistically significant beneficial effects on output...

Large inflows from the European Union to the New Member States are likely to significantly impact macroeconomic outcomes. In this paper, we use the IMF's Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF) to analyze the impact of the transfers and show the conditions under which they would help...

This paper examines whether ESAF-supported programs during 1986-91 had significant independent effects on growth, inflation and the external debt service ratio. Econometric estimates of the Generalized Evaluation Estimator (GEE) identify statistically significant beneficial effects on output...

Given the connectedness of most states with their neighbors, any economic analysis of changes in a state's policy needs to account for the interdependence between states. We examine in how much detail one needs to model the factor and commodity flows between states, and how much, if anything, is...