This paper applies ARDL and Nonlinear ARDL models to long-term inflation targeting policy mechanisms in the United States and China to assess the impact of oil price dynamics and asymmetries on inflation expectations in the two countries, as well as the difference of this impact before and after...

We investigate the macroeconomic effects of political risk in an information-rich SVAR. Using an external instrument based on an index of US partisan conflict for identification, we find that reduced political risk has expansionary impact: it is immediately priced into stock prices; increases...

COVID-19 outbreak disrupted social and economic activity. Impacts on aviation, tourism, retail, financial markets, MSMEs and oil are assessed in this research. Travel and tourism, which contributes 9.2% of the GDP, will impact the GDP growth rate. Airlines will lose USD 1.56 billion. FPIs...

To mitigate the health and economic fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic, governments worldwide engaged in massive fiscal support programs. We show that generous fiscal support is associated with an increase in the demand for consumption goods during the pandemic, but industrial production did not...

Fiscal consolidation is used as a synonym for austerity much as debt restructuring is used as a euphemism for partial repudiation. Inside the political arena of international economics, the nomenclature of government officials in policy debates adopts colorful terminology, such as healthy public...

In this paper, we examine the potential welfare gains and channels of income smoothing for 14 Pacific Island countries (PIC). We find that the overall welfare gains across all PIC (in particular Kiribati, Palau and Papua New Guinea) are higher than the potential gains from risk sharing for OECD...

After the collapse of housing markets during the Great Depression, the U.S. government played a large role in shaping the future of housing finance and policy. Soon thereafter, housing markets witnessed the largest boom in recent history. The objective in this paper is to quantify the...

We follow a representative panel of millions of consumers in the U.S. from 2007 to 2017 and document several facts on the long-term effects of the Great Recession. There were about six million foreclosures in the ten-year period after Lehman's collapse. Owners of multiple homes accounted for 25%...

COVID-19 is one of the most fearsome pandemics that the world is facing right now. COVID-19 has completely driven the people lives of Sri lanka as well as rest of the world, totally in a different way. Economically, Sri lanka was already in a bad condition before start of this pandemic and now...