This paper provides new evidence of the macroeconomic effects of public investment in advanced economies. Using public investment forecast errors to identify the causal effect of government investment in a sample of 17 OECD economies since 1985 and model simulations, the paper finds that...

This paper aims to assess the economic impact of the IMF’s support through its facilities for low-income countries. It relies on two complementary econometric analyses: the first investigates the longer-term impact of IMF engagement-primarily through successive medium-term programs under the...

This paper studies how initial conditions affect the outcome of reform using the case of trade liberalization as an example. The paper illustrates empirically and theoretically the seemingly paradoxical case of larger impact of reform when initial conditions are poorer

This paper analyzes the effects of the current trade conflict on developing Asia using the Asian Development Bank's Multiregional Input–Output Table (MRIOT), allowing us to calculate the impact on individual countries and on sectors within countries. The analysis estimates the direct impact on...