Showing 1 - 10 of 73
This paper employs a dynamic multi-country framework to analyze the international macroeconomic transmission of El Niño weather shocks. This framework comprises 21 country/region-specific models, estimated over the period 1979Q2 to 2013Q1, and accounts for not only direct exposures of countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014412120
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009667111
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009667115
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010457233
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011753440
China's GDP growth slowdown and a surge in global financial market volatility could both adversely affect an already weak global economic recovery. To quantify the global macroeconomic consequences of these shocks, we employ a GVAR model estimated for 26 countries/regions over the period 1981Q1...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011705479
We employ a set of sign restrictions on the generalized impulse responses of a Global VAR model, estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2–2011Q2, to discriminate between supply-driven and demand-driven oil-price shocks and to study the time profile of their macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012671603
This paper employs a dynamic multi-country framework to analyze the international macroeconomic transmission of El Niño weather shocks. This framework comprises 21 country/region-specific models, estimated over the period 1979Q2 to 2013Q1, and accounts for not only direct exposures of countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971224
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012878902
This paper develops a threshold-augmented dynamic multi-country model (TG-VAR) to quantify the macroeconomic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic. We show that there exist threshold effects in the relationship between output growth and excess global volatility at individual country levels in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223666