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Macroeconometric policy simulation models allow for an analysis, and, above all, for a quantification of the effects different economic policies have on the various variables that represent the economy. Despite the seminal "Lucas critique" levelled against them, these models are still widely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002202977
This paper investigates the effects of government bond purchases by the European CentralBank (ECB) on the degree of fiscal policy accommodation (DFPA) communicated in its pressconferences. I use a text mining approach to quantify the DFPA of the ECB and a proxyFactor-Augmented VAR to assess the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251032
The presence of the lagged shadow policy rate in the interest rate feedback rule reduces the government spending multiplier nontrivially when the policy rate is constrained at the zero lower bound (ZLB). In the economy with policy inertia, increased inflation and output due to higher government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031117
This paper examines how the presence of uncertainty alters allocations and prices when the nominal interest rate is constrained by the zero lower bound. I conduct the analysis using a standard New Keynesian model in which the nominal interest rate is determined according to a truncated Taylor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035763
I utilize a novel data on proprietary servicer call transcripts to investigate strategic borrower responses to mortgage forbearance program (13% with only 1.5% unemployed) contained in the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act. I document selective verification of unemployment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234507
The climate and biodiversity emergencies require structural economic shifts that will necessitate strategic coordination between macroeconomic policy authorities. The Covid-19 episode saw the implementation of monetary-fiscal policy coordination not seen since the 1970s to avert catastrophic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014357452
This paper estimates a New Keynesian open economy DSGE model for Turkey by using Bayesian estimation technique for the period of 2002:q1 - 2009:q3. It studies fiscal and monetary policy interactions and their role in stabilisation of the economy using a small-scale model following the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009157475
A standard model of activist macroeconomic policy derives a monetary reaction rule by assuming that governments have performance objectives, but are constrained by an augmented Phillips curve. In addition to monetary policy governments apply a variety of instruments to influence inflation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010210834
Italien leidet politisch und ökonomisch unter der Finanzkrise in der Europäischen Union. Das Wachstum ist negativ und die Arbeitslosigkeit steigt. Obwohl die Neuverschuldung verringert wurde und die Handelsbilanz Überschüsse aufweist, bleibt ein Zinsspread bestehen. Zudem ist zu befürchten,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009678971
In this paper we investigate the possible effects of fiscal tightening in Hungary from two perspectives. First, simulations in an estimated neo-Keynesian model are used to characterise the effects of different scenarios for fiscal consolidations. We show that the composition of fiscal shocks is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003347824