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We investigate the relationship between long-term U.S. stock market risks and the macroeconomic environment using a two component GARCH-MIDAS model. Our results show that macroeconomic variables are important determinants of the secular component of stock market volatility. Among the various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065352
I propose a new model-free method for estimating long-run changes in expected volatility using VIX futures contracts. The method is applied to measure the effect on stock market volatility of scheduled macroeconomic news announcements. I find that looking at long-run changes gives qualitatively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846253
This doctoral dissertation analyses the transmission of monetary policy. It applies a variety of empirical methods to study how conventional and unconventional monetary policy measures transmit to different macroeconomic and financial variables. The first article analyses the effect of monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013207407
Based on the present value model for stock prices, we utilise a pooled mean group estimator for panel ARDL cointegration to estimate the long-run relationship between G7 stock prices and macroeconomic variables over the last 40 years. We find a positive long-run relation between stock prices,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179569
This study investigated the disposition effect under economic crisis (Brexit & GFC) and found that the stock markets of New Zealand, Australia and Mumbai did not show any significant disposition effect during the crisis period. The paper utilizes secondary data analysis to discuss the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979318
This paper provides a model to interpret the relative behavior of expected returns of high- and low-resilience assets from the time of the COVID-19 pandemic, including a novel definition of disaster based on COVID-19 intensity. The setup allows us to disentangle the probability of disaster and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015358871
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011928024
We study stock market reactions to the Brexit referendum on 23 June 2016 in order to assess investors' expectations about the effects of leaving the European Union on the UK economy. Our results suggest that initial stock price movements were driven by fears of a cyclical downturn and by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900762
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