This paper examines the seasonality in U.S. Social Security disability applications. We demonstrate that the monthly disability applications feature a double-peak seasonal pattern which lags a similar seasonal pattern in unemployment rate and unemployment insurance initial claims by one to two...

This paper proposes a macro-prudential financial soundness analysis that can be used by most developing and transformation countries with or without crisis experience as well as by developed countries with limited data. The objective is to detect economic and financial sector vulnerability,...

We apply generalized beta and triangular distributions to histograms from the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) to estimate forecast uncertainty, shocks and discord using information framework, and compare these with moment-based estimates. We find these two approaches to produce...

We test whether the ACA dependent care provision is associated with young adults' propensity to live with/near parents and to receive food assistance. Data come from the 2008 Survey of Income and Program Participation. Findings indicate that the provision is associated with a 3.0 percentage...

We use difference-in-difference methods and data from the 2008 Survey of Income and Program Participation to test whether the ACA dependent care provision is associated with family structure and public program participation among young adults. Findings indicate that implementation of the...

In this study, we test whether the Affordable Care Act’s (ACA) dependent care provision is associated with young adults’ propensity to be in the armed forces and to have military health insurance. We use a difference-in-difference (DD) approach, comparing the outcomes of young adults...