Three models of price and wage behavior are estimated and tested in this paper. Model 1 is one in which the long-run trade-off between unemployment and inflation is in terms of price levels; Model 2 is one in which the trade-off is in terms of rates of change; and Model 3 is one in which there is...

We use the inflation premium - the difference between nominal and real interest rates - as a proxy for expected inflation in the context of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve. Using data from inflation-indexed and nominal bonds we estimate a forward-looking Phillips curve for the United Kingdom...

[...]It seems clear that the Federal Reserve’s policy behavior overthe 1979:4-1982:3 period (which I refer to as the “earlyVolcker” period) differed from that of other periods.1 Thestated policy of the Federal Reserve during this period was tofocus more on monetary aggregates than it had...