Die gestiegene Inflation und die daraufhin erfolgten Zinserhöhungen treffen einkommensschwache und verschuldete Haushalte besonders hart. Die Leitzinserhöhungen der Europäischen Zentralbank (EZB) seit Juli 2022 wurden bei der Neukreditvergabe durch Banken auf einzelnen Teilmärkten in...

Die gestiegene Inflation und die daraufhin erfolgten Zinserhöhungen treffen einkommensschwache und verschuldete Haushalte besonders hart. Die Leitzinserhöhungen der Europäischen Zentralbank (EZB) seit Juli 2022 wurden bei der Neukreditvergabe durch Banken auf einzelnen Teilmärkten in...

The aims of this paper are estimate and forecast the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment, or NAIRU, for Brazilian unemployment time series data. In doing so, we introduce a methodology for estimating mixed additive seasonal autoregressive (MASAR) models, by the Generalized Method of...

The paper develops a Romer-type growth model with a research sector, a manufacturing sector, and a financial sector and shows that inflation has an adverse effect on economic growth. Higher inflation increases the incentives for agents to use money substitutes through financial services in an...

Many empirical studies have found that interest rate increases have a positive effect on the price level. This paper pursues an obvious, but neglected explanation: interest payments are a cost of production that is at least in part passed on to customers. A model shows that the cost- push effect...

This paper shows the way how persistent world inflation shocks hitting a small open economy can re-weight the importance of domestic and foreign factors in the determination of prices. In this sense, we study why the recently observed global disinflation environment may imply a weakening of the...

This paper proposes a novel Maximum Likelihood (ML) strategy to estimate Euler equations implied by dynamic stochastic theories. The strategy exploits rational expectations cross-equation restrictions, but circumvents the problem of multiple solutions that arises in Sargent's (1979) original...