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Inflation targeting needs to be supplemented by an economic growth target so that central banks will not adopt monetary policy which results in stagnation. There is no guarantee that the economy will move towards full employment by itself when the inflation rate is kept between two to three per...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423294
We study the effects of growth volatility and inflation volatility on average rates of output growth and inflation for postwar U.S. data in a multivariate asymmetric GARCH-M model. Our statistical model differs from other work in that we allow the conditional covariance of inflation and growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005574809
Recent research documents the importance of uncertainty in determining macroeconomic outcomes, but little is known about the transmission of uncertainty across such outcomes. This paper examines the response of uncertainty about inflation and output growth to shocks documenting statistically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005587714
We examine the relationship between inflation and unemployment in the long run,using quarterly US data from 1952 to 2010. Using a band-pass filter approach, we find strong evidence that a positive relationship exists, where inflation leads unemployment by some 3 to 3.5 years, in cycles that last...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293392
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001740250
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003303852
One of the major emerging macroeconomic problems during the past century has been the tendency for inflation to accelerate under prolonged periods of full employment. According to Isaac and Kaldor, this arises because the three major objectives of wage earners often conflict. The first objective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757049
The paper examines the effect of inflation on growth in transition countries. It presents panel data evidence for 13 transition countries over the 1990-2003 period; it uses a fixed effects panel approach to account for possible bias from correlations among the unobserved effects and the observed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494404
The paper examines the effect of inflation on growth in transition countries. It presents panel data evidence for 13 transition countries over the 1990-2003 period; it uses a fixed effects, full-information maximum likelihood, panel approach to account for possible bias from correlations among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288837
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001624222