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We introduce a time series model that captures both long memory and conditional heteroskedasticity and assess their ability to describe the US inflation data. Specifically, the model allows for long memory in the conditional mean formulation and uses a normal mixture GARCH process to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288125
volatility raises inflation; (2) the Friedman hypothesis that inflation raises inflation volatility; and (3) the Black hypothesis … that output volatility raises output growth, and that output volatility reduces inflation. For Brazil, we do not find any …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010616907
In this paper, we use new data and modern time series econometrics to reassess the relationship between interest rates, prices and inflation in Britain across the two and a half centuries from 1750 to 2006 for which reliable data are available. We pay particular attention to monetary regimes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005111511
This paper carries out another evaluation on a highly debated property of inflation dynamics, namely its persistence. We study inflation dynamics for the United States since 1959 with a time-varying methodology where the intercept, variance and persistence are allowed to vary over time. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014177885
innovation on inflation, a Stochastic Volatility in Mean model (SVM) has been employed. SVM models are generally used to capture … models. Empirical evidence provided here suggests that innovations in inflation volatility increases inflation persistently …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915171
In this article, we use as case study the Spanish economy in the Early Modern period. We use recent time series data for the period 1492 - 1810. We consider the possibility that a linear cointegrated regression model with multiple structural changes would provide a good empirical description of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015166985
day. However, the volatility persistence of ARCH-type models is reflected with relatively high VaR estimates for longer … specified time horizon. -- Bootstrapping ; inflation ; inflation-indexed futures ; Mexico ; Value at Risk ; volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008737147
This paper investigates persistence of Swiss consumer price inflation using aggregate and disaggregate inflation data covering 1983-2008. We document that persistence of sectoral inflation rates is below persistence of aggregate inflation. Our main finding is that inflation persistence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003909626
The estimation of inflation volatility is important to Central Banks as it guides their policy initiatives for … Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) family with a view to providing a parsimonious approximation to the dynamics of Nigeria's inflation volatility … impact of inflation shocks on headline volatility die out rather quickly. Secondly, substantial evidence of asymmetric effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476231
This study compares the performance of GARCH-Type models in modelling inflation volatility in Nigeria covering the … asymmetric volatility models. The empirical examination observes evidence of volatility persistence in the consumer price indices … the role of structural breaks for inflation rate volatility in Nigeria will yield misleading and invalid policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011840993