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The empirical evidence presented in this paper casts doubts on the by now widely accepted "fact"that the exchange rate based stabilization programs are expansionary. Even though these programs were associated with output booms, no evidence of booms caused both by the stabilization programs is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004990434
In this paper we show that a model featuring durables consumption, weak credibility, and sticky prices can explain many of the stylized facts associated with exchange-rate-based stabilization, including the quantitative variation exhibited by key macroeconomic variables. In standard models, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706225
High and persistent inflation has been one of the distinguishing macroeconomic characteristics of many developing countries since the end of World War II. Countries afflicted by chronic inflation, however, have not taken their fate lightly and have engaged in repeated stabilization attempts....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024216
In light of persistent in ation dispersion and rising debt levels in the EMU, this paper investigates the welfare implications of budget-neutral scal policies that counteract in ation di erentials. In a two-country DSGE model of a monetary union with traded and non-traded goods a national scal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437921
The “fiscal theory of currency crises” (Daniel 2001; Corsetti and Maćkowiak 2005, 2006) claims that with long-term nominal debt, a government can delay the timing of an inevitable currency crisis that results from a fiscal shock. The present paper shows that, in contrast, long-term nominal debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137963
This paper examines two important issues for a small high-inflation open economy with trade controls where the government implements an exchange-rate based stabilization program: first, the extent to which the degree of openness of the economy influences the probability of success of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012781599
Since 1947, hyperinflations (by Cagan's definition) in market economies have been rare. Much more common have been longer inflationary processes with inflation rates above 100 percent per annum. Based on a sample of 133 countries, and using the 100 percent threshold as the basis for a definition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317754
This paper investigates stability in a small open economy under fixed exchange rates when a proportion of consumers are credit constrained, and there exists some degree of inflation inertia. We show that the combination of these two elements may generate significant cyclical behaviour, and that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014054832
This paper identifies optimal policy rules in the presence of explicit targets for both the inflation rate and public debt. This issue is investigated in the context of a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model that describes a small open economy with capital accumulation, distortionary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014055238
High and persistent inflation has been one of the distinguishing macroeconomic characteristics of many developing countries since the end of World War II. Countries afflicted by chronic inflation, however, have not taken their fate lightly and have engaged in repeated stabilization attempts....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014056345