Any measure of unobserved inflation uncertainty relies on specific assumptions which are most likely not fulfilled completely. This calls into question whether an individual measure delivers a reliable signal. To reduce idiosyncratic measurement error, we propose using common information...

Any measure of unobserved inflation uncertainty relies on specific assumptions which are most likely not fulfilled completely. This calls into question whether an individual measure delivers a reliable signal. To reduce idiosyncratic measurement error, we propose using common information...

We investigate the international linkages of inflation uncertainty in the G7. In a first step, we document that inflation uncertainty in the G7 is intertwined. Moreover, the degree of synchronization has increased during the recent two decades. Second, based on a Factor-Structural Vector...

We investigate the international linkages of inflation uncertainty in the G7. In a first step, we document that inflation uncertainty in the G7 is intertwined. Moreover, the degree of synchronization has increased during the recent two decades. Second, based on a Factor-Structural Vector...

It can be shown that inflation expectations and associated forecast errors are characterized by a high degree of persistence. One reason may be that forecasters cannot directly observe the inflation target pursued by the central bank and, hence, face a complicated forecasting problem. In...

World Economic Climate: World economic climate weakens, but remains at a high level - Economic Expectations: Optimistic economic expectations - Inflation: Moderate inflation expectations - Currencies: US dollar expected to rise - Interest Rates: Stable interest rates expected - Special Topic:...

Usando microdatos del IPC para 11 países del área del euro, que representan el 60 % de la cesta europea de consumo durante el período 2010-2019, documentamos nuevos resultados sobre rigidez de precios en el área del euro: i) cada mes, en promedio, el 12,3 % de los precios sufren cambios, en...