This paper presents a theoretical and empirical investigation into timing relationships between variables within and across industrialized countries. In the analysis we highlight the two polar cases of completely closed and open economies and draw some implications for timing between monetary...

Keynes' General Th&ry was a brilliant attanpt to plain the paradoxof 1CM interest rates, ineffectual easy rn,netaxy policy, and lowinvestrtntduring the Great Depression. We argue that Keynes' failure to distinguishbetween low naninal and high real interest rates led hint to misinterpret atight...

This paper presents a theoretical and empirical investigation into timing relationship between variables within and across industrialized countries. In the analysis we highlight the two polar cases of completely closed and open economies and draw some implications for timing between monetary...

Like the proverbial chicken and the egg, economic events and macroeconomic theory have borne an ongoing ambiguous relationship to one another. Keynes himself, in his scathing indictment of the influence of "academic scribblers" on actual policy, pointed to one such avenue of impact. George...

Using panel data for the United States and 22 other OECD countries for the current float, this paper presents evidence that despite substantial short-term perturbations, purchasing power parity actually performed much better than commonly believed. Average rates of growth of real exchange rates...

Every once in a great while, history provides us with a natural experiment, an episode in which a major change in a key economic variable occurs that has no direct relation to the contemporaneous behavior of the variables that theory suggests it ought to effect.1 A classic example was the...