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This paper assesses the performance of monetary indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over the period since the start of EMU considering a wide range of forecasting models, including standard bivariate forecasting models, factor models, simple combination forecasts as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295806
between interest rates and housing wealth deflated by nominal output (by the money supply). It also implies the cost of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011103246
We construct a search-theoretic model where fiat money coexists with real assets, and all assets can be used as a media … of exchange. The terms of trade in bilateral matches are determined by a pairwise Pareto-efficient pricing mechanism. We … facts: (i) fiat money can be valued despite being dominated in its rate of return; (ii) real assets with identical dividend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005090837
money and inflation. When analysing the full sample of countries we find a strong positive relation between the long …-run inflation and money growth rate. The relation is not, however, proportional. The strong link between inflation and money growth … inflation and money growth for low inflation countries (on average less than 10% per annum over the last 30 years) is weak. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656210
Conventional wisdom is that inflation makes people spend money faster, trying to get rid of it like a “hot potato,” and … exchange and hence reduces search effort. We replace search intensity with a free entry (participation) decision for buyers - i ….e., we focus on the extensive rather than intensive margin - and prove buyers always spend their money faster when inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008502078
frictions to incorporate the interrelationship of money, search, and endogenous price dispersion. Inflation aspects welfare …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009327859
ability of money-based forecasts relative to a simple random walk benchmark model was high at medium-term forecasting horizons …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604913
This paper provides remarks on modern monetary theory (MMT) from a Kaleckian perspective in response to a paper by Drumetz/Pfister. The distinction between initial financing and final financing is drawn up to argue for clear separation of how expenditure is financed and funded, and pointing to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433717
We argue that long-run inflation has nonlinear and state-dependent effects on unemployment, output, and welfare. Using panel data from the OECD, we document three correlations. First, there is a positive long-run relationship between anticipated inflation and unemployment. Second, there is also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012625516