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This paper examines robust estimators of core inflation for Belgian historical CPI data, and for euro area Harmonised Indices of Consumer Prices. Evidence of fat tails in the cross-sections of price changes is provided by traditional measures, as well as by a robust measure of the tail weights...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004970717
This paper assesses the empirical performance of the forward-looking new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) in France, Germany and Italy for the period 1991.3-2004.4. Instead of imposing rational expectations, I use direct measures of inflation expectations constructed from Consensus Economics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101810
We study price level convergence within the US and EMU, using panel estimates of regional Phillips curves of the hybrid New-Keynesian type. The estimated half lives of deviations from trend PPP are around three years for US regions and two years for euro area countries. The start of EMU had no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106636
We find that regional inflation dispersion has not markedly increased since the start of EMU, although it is somewhat higher than in other monetary unions (US and Germany), and that the distribution of member states' rates of inflation around the euro area HICP inflation rate is characterised by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106750
Besides the theoretical (Alchian/Klein, 1973) case for including asset prices in measures of inflation, there is also a practical case, that some asset prices, notably housing, are closely associated with the main trends in inflation, and via 'bubbles and busts' with output disturbances....
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