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An alternative formula to the Quantity Theory uses monetary aggregates to measure changes in the value of money which explain virtually all variation of future long-term inflation, enabling significantly more accurate inflation forecasts than consensus with important implications for monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970015
This paper provides the most fully comprehensive evidence to date on whether or not monetary aggregates are valuable for forecasting US inflation in the early to mid 2000s. We explore a wide range of different definitions of money, including different methods of aggregation and different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152415
Classical models of inflation, utilising the transactions-based demand for money, predict that monetary policy will be ineffective in changing real variables. In response to this, the New Keynesian sticky-price models assume price-rigidity in order to address the possibility for the existence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012725110
The foreign exchange market seeks to use a market-based mechanism to discover a price for a currency. But, this price discovery mechanism is hampered by a variety of externalities, chief of which is the different intermediaries involved in the trading and clearing of a currency. Such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238090
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447556
This study seeks to empirically explore the impact of key monetary policy variables on the economic growth in the CEMAC zone from the period of 1981 to 2015. Carried out using the Ex post facto research design based on the principal components selection approach, the study interacts money...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012062559
This study approaches the Quantity Theory of Money at a conceptual level, asking how it can be most reasonably interpreted and quantitatively assessed. The resulting approach is straightforward. Unlike studies relying on other methods we find evidence of its linchpin prediction that is not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276869
This study approaches the Quantity Theory of Money at a conceptual level, asking how it can be most reasonably interpreted and quantitatively assessed. The resulting approach is straightforward. Unlike studies relying on other methods we find evidence of its linchpin prediction that is not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003949071
This paper investigates whether the quantity theory of money is still alive. We demonstrate three insights. First, for countries with low inflation, the raw relationship between average inflation and the growth rate of money is tenuous at best. Second, the fit markedly improves, when correcting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008682890
The main focus of the present paper is to analyze the impacts of financial policy on inflation rates. The analysis depended on time series data and was divided into theoretical and applied analytical framework. An econometric model was utilized to reflect the relations between financial policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107752