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Do extreme events have a significant effect about textual sentiment? The purpose of this article is to highlight the need to correct the estimation of indicators of economic uncertainty. The indicators were constructed from textual data about the perspective of extreme events. For this purpose,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281527
by the announcement of inflation targeting in 1991 when estimating the effects of monetary policy. For instance, we find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011777945
current burst of inflation in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic and the inflation that Americans experienced 100 years ago … announced aggressive plans to reduce its massive balance sheet. Expectations are that tightening will continue until inflation … applied to counteract extreme economic conditions, the risk of overshooting the target increases substantially. For this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291438
This paper proposes a tractable New Keynesian (NK) economy with endogenous adjustment in product quality that nests the canonical framework. Endogenous quality choice reduces the slope of the traditional NK Phillips curve and ampliffes the economy's response to productivity shocks. This leads to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013277166
and inflation. Simultaneous monetary policy and macroprudential policy shocks do not alter the reaction of inflation … die Auswirkungen von monetären Schocks auf die Volatilität der Finanzvariablen, nicht aber der Produktion und Inflation …. Gleichzeitige geldpolitische und makroprudenzielle Schocks verändern die Reaktion der Inflation im Vergleich zu einem …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014631259
Empirical evidence suggests consumers rely on their shopping experiences to form beliefs about inflation. In other …. Learning by shopping anchors households' beliefs about inflation to its past, causing disagreement with firms over the value of … inflation, increases the degree of anchoring of households' inflation expectations, and flattens the slope of the Phillips curve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015069687
employment), inflation and the price level. This paper assesses how these tradeoffs have evolved over time and varied across … outcomes and tradeoffs. We also calculate Sacrifice Ratios (output losses per inflation reduction) and document a historically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015405430
monetary policy regime under uncertain inflation dynamics that alter the steady state properties of the underlying model as … well as the stochastic dependencies between model parameters and shocks. Since shifts in the inflation target are examples … persistence of inflation to the recent proposal of Blanchard et al. (2010) to raise the inflation target from its conventional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135623
We examine how the interaction between monetary policy and macroeconomic conditions affects inflation uncertainty in the … long-term. The unobservable inflation uncertainty is quantified by means of the slowly evolving long-term variance component … of inflation in the framework of the Spline-GARCH model (Engle and Rangel, 2008). For a cross-section of 13 developed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425581
The uncertainty of U.S. core inflation, measured by the stochastic volatility of forecast errors, has soared to a level … increase after a positive shock to core inflation uncertainty in a vector autoregression. Endogenous changes in household … inflation expectations help to understand the transmission mechanism through which an inflation uncertainty shock generates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436184