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In density forecasts, respondents are asked to assign probabilities to pre-specifted ranges of inflation. We show in two large-scale experiments that responses vary when we modify the response scale. Asking an identical question with modifted response scales induces different answers: Shifting,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013490743
In a simple New Keynesian model, we derive a closed form solution for the inflation-gap persistence parameter as a function of the policy weights in the central bank's Taylor rule. By estimating the time-varying weights that the FED attaches to inflation and the output gap, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115531
We study how inflation and deflation affect firms' ability to cooperate in an experimental Bertrand duopoly with differentiated products. We find that there is significantly less cooperation in the treatments with inflation and deflation compared to the no-inflation treatments. The difficulties...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010207927
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009689378
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010417154
In a simple New Keynesian model, we derive a closed form solution for the inflation persistence parameter as a function of the policy weights in the central bank’s Taylor rule. By estimating the time-varying weights that the FED attaches to inflation and the output gap, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008758155
In a simple New Keynesian model, we derive a closed form solution for the inflation-gap persistence parameter as a function of the policy weights in the central bank’s Taylor rule. By estimating the time-varying weights that the FED attaches to inflation and the output gap, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009526206
A constant price level facilitates cooperation among firms whereas steady inflation and deflation rates lower firms' ability to cooperate. In an experimental market with price competition we show that both inflation and deflation signicantly reduce cooperation compared to treatments with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491108
The gap between actual and perceived inflation is one of the more unexpected consequences of the euro changeover in January 2002. In this note we argue that this gap was caused by a lack of preparation and experience of the authorities to appropriately communicate with the public during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003592653
The discrepancy between popular impressions of how the 2002 changeover to the euro affected prices and its actual impact is perhaps the most surprising consequence of the single currency's introduction. Following the changeover, perceived inflation rose significantly and returned to its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012728578