A rich literature from the 1970s shows that as inflation expectations become more and more ingrained, monetary policy loses its stimulative effect. In the extreme, with perfectly anticipated inflation, there is no trade-off between inflation and output. A recent literature on the interest-rate...

The inflation-indexed bonds the U.S. Treasury plans to issue will reduce the expected borrowing cost if the yield curve reflects a risk premium for inflation. In the United Kingdom, indexed bonds are also used to extract inflationary expectations and thus to guide monetary policy. The bonds will...

Originally appeared in the Federal Reserve Bank of New York Quarterly Review, Autumn 1977

a speech at the Symposium on Liquidity of the National Association of Accountants, New York City, October 30, 1975

originally appeared in the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Business Review, July/August 1977, p. 3-12

Originally appeared in the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, January 1975

Speech at the M.B.A. graduation exercises of the Fordham Graduate School of Business, New York City, June 28, 1978

Originally appeared in the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Economic Review, Sept/Oct 1977

Originally appeared in the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Business Review, May 1975. p. 19-31