Showing 1 - 10 of 12
We examine the daily exchange rate dynamics in selected new EU member states (Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, and Slovakia) using GARCH and TARCH models between 1999 and 2006. Despite these countries adopted inflation targeting regime, they occasionally tried to manage their exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264218
After the introduction of a stabilization program Israeli inflation decreased from 400% in 1985 to 2% in 2013. This paper analyzes how the remarkable transition process of Israel's disinflation took place. We reinforce the existing hypothesis that inflationmoved in distinct steps characterized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491447
A Phillips Curve (PC) framework is utilized to study the challenging post-1985 disinflation process in Israel. The estimated PC is stable and has forecasting power. Based on endogenous structural break tests we find that actual and expected inflation are co-breaking. We argue that the step-like...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011580437
Can the South African Reserve Bank’s (SARB) substantially control inflation within their set target of 3-6 percent? We sought to investigate this phenomenon by examining multiple threshold effects in the persistence levels of quarterly aggregated inflation data collected between 2003 and 2014....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113895
Turkey, as an emerging economy, has a unique experience regarding to the relationship between the rate of inflation and the exchange rate. As opposed to developed countries, the effects of exchange rate fluctuations are felt significantly on inflation dynamics and these fluctuations also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010941509
We offer some empirical evidence on the likely scale of control and indicator problems surrounding alternative monetary targets and a direct inflation target. The links between monetary policy actions and inflationare estimated in dynamic linear models using the Kalman filter. We compare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005582267
This paper examines the constraints on the dynamics of the daily US dollar and the Euro exchange rates relative to the Turkish lira after the full fledged Inflation Targeting regime was adopted in 2006. We find that the single threshold specifications with two regimes that allow the conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792693
For the sake of credibility the ECB has to commit to a clear policy strategy - a direct inflation target or an intermediate monetary target. We offer some information on the scale of control and indicator problems associated with both strategies. We estimate the links between monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005823542
Following the Asian financial crisis in 1997-98, a number of Asian central banks adopted inflation targeting. While it is possible for the average inflation rate to be close to target, deviations of inflation could nevertheless be large and protracted. We therefore explore how successful this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009279928
After the introduction of a stabilization program Israeli inflation decreased from 400% in 1985 to 2% in 2013. This paper analyzes how the remarkable transition process of Israel’s disinflation took place. We reinforce the existing hypothesis that inflationmoved in distinct steps characterized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011277264