Uncertainty about future inflation is often claimed to be one of the most important costs of inflation, since it distorts the workings of the price system and leads to allocational inefficiencies. This paper analyses U.K. inflation between 1950 and 1994 using the ARCH methodology, which enables...

This paper analyses the nominal and real interest rate term structures in the United Kingdom over the fifteen-year period that the UK monetary authorities have pursued an explicit inflation target, using a four-factor essentially affine term structure model. The model imposes no-arbitrage...

This paper analyses the nominal and real interest rate term structures in the United Kingdom over the fifteen-year period that the UK monetary authorities have pursued an explicit inflation target, using a four-factor essentially affine term structure model. The model imposes no-arbitrage...