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Understanding the formation of consumer inflation expectations is considered crucial for managing monetary policy. Using a unique 'information' experiment embedded in a survey, this paper investigates how consumers' inflation expectations respond to new information. We elicit respondents'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091713
Using the panel component of the Michigan Survey of Consumers, we show that individuals, in particular women and ethnic minorities, are highly heterogeneous in their expectations of inflation. We estimate a model of inflation expectations based on learning from experience that also allows for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112062
Understanding the formation of consumer inflation expectations is considered crucial for managing monetary policy. This paper investigates how consumers form and update their inflation expectations using a unique "information" experiment embedded in a survey. We first elicit respondents'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009521621
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009575230
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011421397
This report presents an overview of the Survey of Consumer Expectations, a new monthly online survey of a rotating panel of household heads. The survey collects timely information on consumers' expectations and decisions on a broad variety of topics, including but not limited to inflation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568513
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555709
Using the panel component of the Michigan Survey of Consumers, we show that individuals, in particular women and ethnic minorities, are highly heterogeneous in their expectations of inflation. We estimate a model of inflation expectations based on learning from experience that also allows for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009411128
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011345138
We compare the inflation expectations reported by consumers in a survey with their behavior in a financially incentivized investment experiment designed such that future inflation affects payoffs. The inflation expectations survey is found to be informative in the sense that the beliefs reported...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014178234