. Adding inflation as a second variable, we uncover two states in which expected consumption growth is low, one with high and … one with negative expected inflation. Embedded in a general equilibrium asset pricing model with learning, these dynamics …

According to the macro-econometric literature, the impact of exogenous oil price shocks on Inflation have greatly … increased in the last two decades throughout OECD countries while the persistence of those shocks on long-term inflation, namely … core inflation, has dramatically decreased. In the meantime, the market for inflation derivatives soared, spurred by a …

Did the decline in inflation rates from 2012 to 2015 and the low levels of market-based inflation expectations lead to de …-anchored inflation dynamics in the euro area? This paper is the first time-varying event study to investigate the reaction of inflation …-linked swap (ILS) rates – a market-based measure of inflation expectations – to macroeconomic surprises in the euro area. Compared …

In a parsimonious regime switching model, expected consumption growth varies over time. Adding inflation as a … expected inflation. Embedded in a general equilibrium asset pricing model with learning, these dynamics replicate the observed …

This paper estimates the inflation risk premium using data on prices of Treasury inflation-protected securities (TIPS … the first subperiod. We find that the inflation risk premium is time varying and, on average, is considerably lower than … suggested by various structural models. Specifically, depending on the proxy used for expected inflation, the average 10-year …

inflation differ over time. We show that the impact varies considerably over time, depends on the source of increased liquidity … (M1, M3-M1 or credit) and the underlying state of the economy (asset price boom-bust, business cycle, inflation cycle …

Using daily data stemming from inflation-indexed markets, we analyse the effects of numerous macroeconomic surprises on … inflation compensation data - the sum of inflation expectations, risk and liquidity premia - in the euro area between 2 January … 2004 and 31 December 2007. Our results suggest that when gauging short and medium-term inflation compensations, market …

Inflation-indexed securities would appear to be the most direct source of information about inflation expectations and … real interest rates" (Bernanke, 2004). In this paper we study the term structure of real interest rates, expected inflation … and inflation risk premia using data on prices of Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) over the period 2000 …

We study euro-area risk-adjusted expected inflation and the inflation risk premium at different maturities, leveraging … inflation swaps, inflation options and survey-based forecasts. We introduce a model that features time-varying long-term average … inflation and time-varying inflation volatility and we anchor market-based risk-adjusted measures of expected inflation to …

Households participating in financial markets pay attention to inflation news when making their investment decisions …, even in an environment of mostly low and stable inflation. ETFs and open-ended mutual funds holding Treasury Inflation …-based inflation expectations measures increase. Changes in household survey expectations or in measures of inflation uncertainty do …