We use the Bank of Italy's Survey on Inflation and Growth Expectations to explore how the COVID-19 shock affects firms’ pricing policies and their inflation expectations. We find that the longer the time deemed necessary to return to their normal business levels and the greater the attention...

This paper illustrates the tools used at Banca d’Italia (BI) to monitor the evolution of inflation expectations. The paper also surveys the analyses conducted at BI to assess how inflation expectations affect agents’ choices and the economy. The first part discusses the measures of inflation...

This paper assesses the anchoring of long-term inflation expectations in the euro area, a key issue from a monetary policy perspective, using a range of measures of inflation expectations and methods. The overall reading of the evidence is that long-term inflation expectations in the euro area...

Using a rich survey panel dataset of Italian businesses, this paper provides new empirical evidence on the drivers of firms' pricing decisions over the last six years. We document a set of interesting results. First, the share of firms adjusting their prices in each period co-moves with current...

Using a rich survey panel of Italian businesses, this paper provides new empirical evidence on the drivers of firms’ pricing decisions over the last six years. We document a set of interesting results. First, the share of firms adjusting their prices in each period co-moves with current...

This paper summarises the findings of the Eurosystem’s Expert Group on Inflation Expectations (EGIE), which was one of the 13 work streams conducting analysis that fed into the ECB’s monetary policy strategy review. The EGIE was tasked with (i) reviewing the nature and behaviour of inflation...