We study the implications of uncertainty for inflation targeting. We apply Brainard's static framework which assumes multiplicative uncertainty in the monetary transmission. Brainard's main result is that in the presence of uncertainty, monetary authorities become naturally more cautious. But...

Central banks face new challenges. First, the potential long-term decline in neutral rates of interest in advanced economies could reduce the space for central banks to make policy-rate cuts. Second, the potential flattening of the Phillips curve (ie the weakening of the relationship between...