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An unresolved problem in Bayesian decision theory is how to value and price information. This paper resolves both problems by assuming inexpensive information. Building on Large Deviation Theory, we produce a generically complete asymptotic order on samples of i.i.d. signals in finite-state,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014120355
We extend the comparison of experiments in Blackwell (1953) to a strategic setting that both simplifies and expands upon ideas in Gossner (2000). We introduce a partial order on correlating signals, called more strategically informative, and prove that it is equivalent to the partial order more...
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We prove that the recently proposed informational herding models are but special cases of a standard single person experimentation model with myopia. We then re-interpret the incorrect herding outcome as a familiar failure of complete learning in a optimal experimentation problem. We next...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014208411
We assume that an impatient decision maker (DM) runs variable-size experiments at an increasing, strictly convex cost before choosing an irreversible action. We introduce and solve a tractable continuous time version of this problem --- a control of variance of a diffusion with uncertain mean....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014060773
We assume that an impatient decision maker (DM) runs variable-size experiments at an increasing, strictly convex cost before choosing an irreversible action. We introduce and solve a tractable continuous time version of this problem - a control of variance of a diffusion with uncertain mean....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014142706