In this paper we study the welfare effect of a monopoly innovation. Unlike many partial equilibrium models carried out in previous studies, general equilibrium models are constructed and analyzed in greater detail. We discover that technical innovation carried out by a monopolist could...

Financial markets witness high levels of activity at certain times but remain calm at others. This makes the flow of physical time discontinuous. Therefore, to use physical time scales for studying financial time series runs the risk of missing important activities. An alternative approach is to...

All economists say that they want to take their models to the data. But with incomplete and highly imperfect data, doing so is difficult and requires carefully matching the assumptions of the model with the statistical properties of the data. The cointegrated VAR (CVAR) offers a way of doing so....

The present value model of the current account has been very popular, as it provides an optimal benchmark to which actual current account series have often been compared. We show why persistence in observed current account data makes the estimated optimal series very sensitive to small-sample...

We examine the timing and quality of product introduction in an R&D stopping game, where we allow for horizontal and vertical differentiation in the product market. We observe that discontinuous changes in introduction dates can occur as firms' abilities as researchers change. Further, when the...

Mit den diesjährigen Trägern des Nobelpreises für Wirtschaft, Robert. F. Engle und Clive W.J. Granger, werden zwei Vertreter der Zeitreihenökonometrie geehrt. Wie hat sich durch ihr Werk die statistische Analyse ökonomischer Zeitreihen verändert? Wie wird heute Volatilität auf...

Lange Zeit wurde der technische Fortschritt als mitverantwortlich für die ansteigende Arbeitslosigkeit angesehen. Mittlerweile hat sich eine andere Sichtweise durchgesetzt. Wie wurde früher „technologische Arbeitslosigkeit“ erklärt? Welcher Innovationsbegriff lag den entsprechenden...

A practice that has become widespread and widely endorsed is that of evaluating forecasts of financial variability obtained from discrete time models by comparing them with high-frequency ex post estimates (e.g. realised volatility) based on continuous time theory. In explanatory financial...

This paper focuses on the systems-of-innovation (SI) approach and its policy implications. It introduces the topic by briefly reviewing the emergence, development, and diffusion of this approach and, then, spells out the constituents, activities, and boundaries of the SI approach. On this basis,...