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This paper contains essays on sterilized intervention, on covered interest rate parity, and on chartist analysis in financial markets. Each essay contains a definition, brief survey of the empirical evidence and overall assessment of each topic
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Short-term interest rates in the United States have been "too high" since October 1979 in the sense that both unconditional and conditional forecasts, based on an estimated vector autoregression model summarizing the prior experience,under predict short-term interest rates during this period....
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This paper is an empirical investigation of the predictability andcomovement of risk premia in the term structure of Euromarket interestrates. We show that variables which have been used as proxies for riskpremia on uncovered foreign asset positions also predict excess returns inEuroniarket term...
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In this paper, we investigate the link between the real foreign exchange value of the dollar and real interest rates since 1979. We argue that it is important to consider the possibility that real exchange rate movements reflect movements of the long-run equilibrium exchange rate as well as real...
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