Showing 1 - 10 of 3,749
The recent rise in price pressures around the world has reignited interest in understanding how inflation transmits to … the real economy. Economists have long recognized that unexpected surges of inflation can redistribute wealth from …, which we call the debt-inflation channel, is well understood theoretically (for example, Gomes, Jermann, and Schmid 2016 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346716
external debt and inflation. Proper external debt management is crucial to control inflation rates in Sudan. …Purpose - This study aims to examine the symmetric and asymmetric impact of external debt on inflation in Sudan from … additional inflation determinants. Design/methodology/approach - The authors utilize an Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014438895
Keynesian theory predicts output responses upon a fiscal expansion in a small open economy to be larger under fixed than floating exchange rates. We analyse the effects of fiscal expansions using a New Keynesian model and find that the reverse holds in the presence of sovereign default risk. By...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061292
This paper explores the effect of inflation supply and demand shocks on government debt. It identifies the shocks using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014536631
We study how the co-movement of inflation and economic activity affects real interest rates and the likelihood of debt … crises. First, we show that for advanced economies, periods with procyclical inflation are associated with lower real … interest rates. Procyclical inflation implies that nominal bonds pay out more in bad times, making them a good hedge against …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910141
UK time-series data are used to document that the ratio of inflation-linked debt to total public debt (“linker share …”) is procyclical. The business cycle properties of the linker share indicate a positive relationship with inflation, even … after controlling for breakeven inflation. This can be explained by the tax-smoothing incentives of the government in a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289568
economic growth. This paper examines the roles of three other factors: primary budget surpluses, surprise inflation, and pegged … inflation and the pre-Accord peg. In this counterfactual, debt/GDP declines only to 74% in 1974, not 23% as in actual history …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337810
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578970
This study examines external debt pass-through to inflation in Nigeria using annual data from 1981 to 2020 based on … significant depreciation of the exchange rate, which leads to a contemporaneous increase in inflation, while the direct response … of inflation to external debt is statistically not significant. The impulse response confirms these results. The forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015393772
We examine monetary policy options for a small open economy where sovereign default might occur due to intertemporal insolvency. Under interest rate policy and floating exchange rates the equilibrium is indetermined. Under a fixed exchange rate the equilibrium is uniquely determined and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011383088