We put forward a Merton-type multi-factor portfolio model for assessing banks’ contributions to systemic risk. This model accounts for the major drivers of banks’ systemic relevance: size, default risk and correlation of banks’ assets as a proxy for interconnectedness. We measure systemic...

Stock picking is the field of financial analysis that is of particular interest for many professional investors and researchers. In this study stock picking is implemented via binary classification trees. Optimal tree size is believed to be the crucial factor in forecasting performance of the...

Robustness of credit portfolio models is of great interest for financial institutions and regulators, since misspecified models translate to insufficient capital buffers and a crisis-prone financial system. In this paper, we propose a method to enhance credit portfolio models based on the model...

We extend the Black-Litterman framework beyond normality to general elliptical distributions of investor's views and asset returns and portfolio risk measured by CVaR. Unlike existing solutions, cf. Xiao and Valdez [Quant. Finan. 2015, 15:3, 509-519], the choice of distributions, with the first...

Tail risk refers to the possibility that a rare event would adversely affect the value of a portfolio in a significant manner. It became much more relevant due to recent periods of strong market turbulence.We describe how to quantify such risk, which tail risk protection strategies were...

We put forward a Merton-type multi-factor portfolio model for assessing banks' contributions to systemic risk. This model accounts for the major drivers of banks' systemic relevance: size, default risk and correlation of banks' assets as a proxy for interconnectedness. We measure systemic risk...

Financial institutions and regulators usually measure credit risk only over a one-year time horizon. Hence, current statistical models can generate closed-form expressions for the one-year loss distribution. Losses over longer horizons are considered using scenario analysis or Monte Carlo...

We propose a consistent and computationally efficient 2-step methodology for the estimation of multidimensional non-Gaussian asset models built using Lévy processes. The proposed framework allows for dependence between assets and different tail-behaviors and jump structures for each asset. Our...

This paper proposes a novel scheme for achieving high investment performances with Mean-Variance (MV) portfolios. As is well-known, MV portfolio performances largely depend on the quality of estimates of parameters, namely expected returns and covariance matrices. Particularly, easily...